Since the retinal location of oriented elements is irrelevant to the task, the histogram of element orientations (
Figure 3) completely embodies the stimulus information relevant to the task. We have also established that ideal observer thresholds for Glass patterns and line patterns are essentially identical, as the incidence of exact false dot matches is negligible at the dipole density (1.30 dipoles/deg
2 on average) we used.
As the signal orientation is known to the observer and the total number of elements is fixed at
N = 200, the ideal observer only has to consider the number of elements at the signal orientation
n 0. We make the further assumption that the ideal observer knows the signal level, i.e., the number
n s of elements deterministically set to the signal orientation on signal-present trials. (Note that the actual set of elements
n 0 at the signal orientation consists of the signal elements plus the noise elements that happen to be at the signal orientation. See
Figures 3a–
3c.) This assumption is not unreasonable, as human thresholds are the outcome of a sequence of QUEST trials in which the signal level
n s gradually converges to a fixed value. Thus, in principle, it is possible for the ideal observer to develop a good estimate of the signal level
n s at its threshold. (In the
Prior knowledge of signal level section, we explore how weaker knowledge of the signal level affects our analysis.)
In addition to knowledge of the signal level
n s, we assume that the ideal observer knows that the prior odds of signal present/absent is 50/50 and that the objective is to maximize proportion correct, consistent with a uniform reward for hits and correct rejects or equivalently a uniform loss for false positives and misses. With this knowledge, and an observed number of elements
n 0 at the known signal orientation, the ideal observer reports the signal present if and only if this is the more likely event. Letting
H 0 and
H 1 denote the signal-absent and signal-present events, respectively, the decision rule can be written as
Calculating the likelihood ratio is straightforward, since for both signal-present and signal-absent trials,
n 0 follows a binomial distribution:
where
p θ = 1/
n θ is the probability that a single noise element will have a particular orientation, given
n θ discrete stimulus orientations (
n θ = 6, 12, or 24 in our experiments). The decision rule in
Equation 1 then determines the ideal criterion
n 0′:
In other words,
n 0′ is the minimum number of elements in the signal orientation for which the likelihood ratio equals or exceeds 1.
Given the optimal criterion
n 0′ as a function of signal level
n s, the proportion of correct responses
p c for every possible signal level
n s ∈ [0, …,
N] (where
N = 200) can be computed as the average of the hit rate
p Hit and correct-reject rate
p CR:
where
and
Given the proportion of correct responses
p c(
n s) for every integer signal level
n s ∈ [0, …,
N], we compute the ideal threshold
n s′ for 75% correct performance by linear interpolation.