(Model-free) thresholds θ
0 were calculated by (maximum-likelihood) fitting a cumulative Gaussian to the psychometric data:
where
n is the number of possible responses (2 or 8). The parameter σ
0 was allowed to vary freely in each fit.
In the next paragraph, we specify how to compute the probability of a correct location P(L), and the probability of an adjacent error P(D) given A and B, the independent events that the true target has the greatest apparent tilt and the observer mistakes the source of the maximum sensation adjacent to its true source, respectively. When fitting “modified SDT” to the data, P(B) is allowed to assume any value between 0 and 1. When fitting “unmodified SDT” to the data P(B) is fixed at 0. Below, we specify how to compute P(A) according to SDT.
Expanding the probability for correct location, we obtain
Because
A and
B are independent, this becomes
Similarly, the probability of an adjacent error can be written
In the uncued condition, with 8 potential targets, these probabilities become
and
In the subsidiary experiment, when the 2 potential targets were next to each other, the probability of a correct location is simply
and
P(
D) = 1−
P(
L). When, as in the ‘cued condition’ of the main experiment, the 2 potential targets were on opposite sides of fixation,
P(
L) =
P(
A) and
P(
D) = 0.
For the target to have the greatest apparent tilt, it must produce a more extreme sensation of tilt than any of the distractors, thus
where
u1 is an outcome of the random variable
U1, quantifying the apparent tilt of the target (negative values can indicate counterclockwise tilts, whereas positive values can indicate clockwise tilts) and each
uii ≠ 1 is an outcome of the random variable
Ui, quantifying the apparent tilt of a different distractor. Thus,
i where
where
m is the number of possible targets and
fx(
u) and
FX(
u) denote the probability density and cumulative distribution functions for any random variable
X, respectively. Hence,
Models of SDT generally assume Gaussian noise. Thus, for a target with tilt θ (where θ<0 indicates counterclockwise tilts and θ>0 clockwise), we have
and
, where φ(
z) is the standard normal density function. Substituting these values into the previous equation we get
where Φ(
z) is the standard normal cumulative distribution function. For each fit, the parameter σ was allowed to vary between observers and durations, but not conditions.
Assuming that the observer simply reports the mean apparent orientation (the red line in
Figure 8), the probability of a correct identification under SDT is simply
Assuming that the observer reports the orientation of the element having the greatest apparent tilt (the green line in
Figure 8), it is slightly more complicated to derive the probability of a correct identification
PMax(
I). Let
E1 denote the event that the actual target is tilted clockwise of horizontal. Assuming the observer has no response bias,
Because the greatest apparent tilt can come from any distractor as well as the target, we have
The ideal observer selects the most likely orientation (clockwise or counterclockwise), given all possible events
Ei,j. Here, the integers
i and
j represent the tilt and position of the target. On any trial in the uncued condition, the target could assume 1 of 10 possible tilts, thus
and, with 8 possible positions,
i≤
j≤8. Because the ideal observer has no response bias and
, the probability of a correct identification is
Let the vector
represent the sensations arising from each position on a given trial. We need to determine how many of the possible sensations are more likely under the null hypothesis H
0:
Ei,j,
i>0 than under the alternative H
1:
Ei,j,
i<0. Thus
where
H(
x) is the (Heaviside) unit-step function:
Let
fi(u) denote the probability density function of apparent tilts produced by target
i and let
f0(
u) denote the probability density function of apparent tilts produced by a distractor. Therefore,
In order to calculate the threshold ratio for the super-ideal observer (the blue line in
Figure 8), we assumed that each target had 1 of only 2 possible tilts, ie
. The preceding equation was approximated (by evaluating the integrand at 10
7 points within the 8-dimensional hypercube with sides stretching from −3.5σ to 3.5σ along each dimension) iteratively until we found the θ
0 for which
PIdeal(
I) = 3/4 when σ = 1.