We now show that sensitivity decreases after recognition in the hand–elbow discrimination. The only difference from the condition above is that the prior probability distribution of a hand point no longer centers at the same location as the likelihood function does because after recognition the prior expects the forearms to be equally long. Without loss of generality, we assume that the peak position of the prior for an elbow position still coincides with its likelihood peak, and that only a hand's z-position shifts. The prior or expected location of a hand is such that the two forearms will be equal in length.
Therefore, the posterior estimation of a hand's z-position is
where z
0 is now the peak of the prior after recognition (i.e., the expected position of a hand in a normal body posture).
The maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate of the hand position, relative to its corresponding elbow position, is 3σ
2z
0 + σ
p2δ)/(σ
2 + σ
p2). Therefore, because one forearm in the stimulus is shorter than expected and the other forearm longer by the same amount, the absolute difference between the lengths of the two forearms is
as compared to Δz = 2|z
0 − δ| before recognition. The discrimination sensitivity d′ after recognition is
The intuition is less straightforward. We offer two here. The first is that, after recognition, the difference in the distances (i.e., the signal, or the nominator in the d′ equation) is a factor of (σp2)/(σ2 + σp2) ≤ 1 from before recognition, whereas the standard deviation (the denominator of the d′ equation) is the square root of the same factor. Thus, the signal is reduced more than the uncertainty is. The second intuition is that when the prior is completely uncertain, σp→∞, d′ is unchanged as compared to before recognition. When the prior is completely certain, σp→0, it overrules the likelihood function, hence the posterior is completely determined by the prior. Because the prior says that the forearms should be equally long, discrimination is at chance, d′ = 0. When we consider σp as decreasing from infinity down to zero, there is no reason for the resultant d′ to be nonmonotonic. Hence, when the prior indicates that the difference should be smaller, discrimination sensitivity will decrease no matter how uncertain the prior is.