In selecting the slant values to test on each trial, we used a newly developed adaptive procedure, which we term the
minimized expected entropy method. For a given trial, the probe slants and responses from previous trials in the same condition, {
s k,
r k}, were used to estimate a posterior probability distribution
P(
μ,σ|
s 1,
r 1,
s 2,
r 2,…
s n,
r n), where
μ is the PSE and
σ is the difference between the PSE and the 75% point. The next probe
s n + 1 was chosen to minimize the expected entropy, −
p log(
p), of the posttrial posterior function,
P(
μ,σ|
s 1,
r 1,
s 2,
r 2,…
s n + 1,
r n + 1). The entropy cost function rewards probes that would be expected to result in a more peaked and concentrated posterior distribution over the space of possible combinations of
μ and
σ, consistent with the goal of estimating
μ and
σ with minimal bounds of uncertainty. There are only two possibilities for the next response, 0 or 1, and for each of these possibilities, one can compute what the new postresponse likelihood distribution would be, as well as its entropy. The expected value of entropy is simply a weighted average of the two possible results, where weights are proportional to their probabilities,
P(
r n + 1 = 0|
s n + 1) and
P(
r n + 1 = 1|
s n + 1). If
μ and
s were known, these probabilities would be directly determined by the model psychometric function. Thus, to estimate
P(
r n + 1|
s n + 1), we marginalized over
μ and
σ, using the posterior distribution computed from previous response history as an estimate of
P(
μ,σ):
For probe slant selection, we used a logistic function to model the psychometric function
P(
r n + 1|
s n + 1,
μ,σ), rather than a more standard cumulative Gaussian, to simplify computation. The function was scaled to range from 0.025 to 0.975 rather than from 0 to 1, to reduce the effect of lapses of attention and guessing on the probe selection. Informal testing of the procedure revealed it to be highly efficient and robust. The space of possible bias and threshold values was discretely sampled to carry out the marginalization, with
μ sampled linearly from −30 and 30 deg and with
σ sampled quadratically from 0.25 to 36.