This specific pattern of results in which the second cushion is not behaviorally salient is important, because it rules out a generic strategy based on checking the ball trajectory at the cushions and confirms that experts were indeed using explicit rule-based knowledge to accomplish the prediction task. This aspect differentiates our study from past studies that addressed an analogous issue in other ball sports, such as table tennis (Land & Furneaux,
1997; Ripoll, Fleurance, & Cazeneuve,
1987), squash (Hayhoe, McKinney, Chajka, & Pelz,
2012), cricket (Land & McLeod,
2000), or simply catching a bouncing ball (Hayhoe, Mennie, Sullivan, & Gorgos,
2005; Zago et al.,
2004). In those cases, in fact, the anticipatory saccades were guided by an implicit model of the ball trajectory. In the present study, we also found proactive gaze in experts when the ball was still visible, which is probably a common feature of expertise in many dynamic conditions. However, billiard expertise it is not just a matter of anticipating an event: The expert observers predicted the outcome of the shot by explicitly applying conceptual knowledge, not evaluating the ball trajectory, for otherwise the second cushion would have had the same behavioral saliency as the others. This finding excludes a major role of direct perception (Gibson,
1979) in conferring to billiard experts a superior prediction capability, at least in our observation task. According to this theory, observers become attuned to certain relevant visual features, from which invariants are directly extracted. With experience, perceptual invariants would be extracted more reliably. This amounts to say that, by seeing portions of the ball trajectory, an expert would perceive directly the future shot outcome. Yet, our data indicate that for a billiard expert, the information contained in the ball motion is essentially functional to check the diagnostic points of the shot, not to derive the future ball trajectory. Again, obviously this does not imply that a billiard expert does not see the ball trajectory, just that the prediction is not based on kinematical parameters. Our findings excluded also that experts used perceptual heuristics, which can be regarded as mostly unconscious, “simple-minded ideas that people have about visual events when making dynamic judgments” (Gilden & Proffitt,
1994; Hecht,
1996). On the contrary, the experts' shot representation based on angolo 50 is definitely not unconscious and far from being “simple-minded.”