We use this multi-class task to demonstrate the advantage of using the naive Bayes method for combination of fragment likelihoods (
Equation 7) over the mean familiarity method (
Equation 8) used by Lacroix et al. (
2006). For certain images, a given fragment may be either diagnostic of its true class or useful in excluding another class. In both cases, simply adding this fragment's likelihood to a running average over fragments (
Equation 8) provides less useful modification to the ultimate posterior than does the naive Bayes updating method of multiplication (
Equation 7). This is illustrated in
Figure 2, which plots the mean posterior probability of the correct class in the facial identification task, averaged over all 29 facial identities. For this figure, we use an online version of NIMBLE to update the posterior,
p(
c∣
F), as each fragment is added to
F. With more information, the posterior for the correct class using naive Bayes likelihood combination (
Equation 7) rises toward 1, while the posterior calculated using mean familiarity (
Equation 8) remains roughly constant. The posterior probabilities of the 28 incorrect classes are not shown, but since the sum over all 29 classes must equal unity, it is clear that each incorrect class has very low probability, and therefore, the Bayes decision rule (
Equation 9) almost always results in correct classification. For comparison, random guessing would set
p(
c∣
F) =
. Note that the results shown in
Figure 2 reveal that, on average, a single fixation is enough to correctly identify a face.