To test whether our model could account for the results, we fitted the model to the data from each subject (see
Methods). Note that systematic errors and
σ levels, which are coupled in the Bayesian model, were fitted simultaneously.
Figure 4 illustrates the fit results of the Bayesian model (dashed lines) in terms of the systematic errors in the SVV. For most subjects, the model fits the systematic error data quite accurately, with
R 2-values ≥0.80. Due to the fact that DB has a very unusual error pattern, with only small negative errors at even the largest tilt angles, this fit is considerably worse (
R 2 < 0)
2. Note that
R 2-values are provided merely to show how well the model accounts for the systematic errors, but do not reflect the overall goodness-of-fit, since
σ-levels are equally important. Since the Bayesian model attributes systematic SVV errors to a combination of errors in the head-in-space estimate (A-effects) and in the eye-in-head estimate (E-effects), see
Equation 5, we also depicted these opposite contributions separately (red and blue line, respectively). In the three subjects without E-effects (JG, MV, and RV), eye-in-head errors are absent (i.e. Δ
E H = 0°), as illustrated by the blue lines through the abscissa (0°). For the other subjects, the fits indicate the degree of undercompensation for ocular counterroll, reflected by the sinusoidal function. Additional fits of a reduced model that lacked uncompensated ocular counterroll, showed that model fits of JG, MV, and RV did not change. The fits of the five subjects with E-effects worsened significantly (likelihood ratio test,
P ≪ 0.01) and parameter a
0 became unrealistically small (0°). Precision fits, shown in
Figure 5, are equally relevant for a complete evaluation of the model. In most subjects (except DB and FW), model fits and actual data show the same trends. Fits show an increase of
σ SVV with tilt angle, which is similar to the actual increase observed in the data. Responses from subject DB were rather atypical, also in repeated testing, and therefore difficult to interpret. The overestimation of
σ SVV in subject FW appears related to the fact that the systematic error pattern shows increased accuracy at the most negative tilt angle (
H S = −120°, see
Figure 4). The model has no solution to account for this observation other than by increasing the value of
σ SVV. We confirmed this by performing separate fits at positive and negative tilts for subject FW. This resulted in minor differences with regard to the accuracy fits, but strongly affected precision levels: at negative tilts,
σ SVV levels were still overestimated, but at positive tilts, the fit improved greatly. This example illustrates how overestimation of
σ SVV may be directly related to small discrepancies in the systematic errors of model and data. Moreover, small asymmetries that are present in each observer (see e.g. the
CW-shift of subject FW in
Figure 3) may also affect the fits, because the present model cannot account for such asymmetry. A possible solution would be to allow a shift of the prior on head-in-space, which could be interpreted as a shift in the internal reference frame of the observer.