The biases and
SDs of the estimated parameters of the learning curves from the qCD and staircase methods with the 0% starting level and RSS method are shown in
Figure 5. For the qCD method, the bias was computed from the post hoc segment-by-segment analysis. For the staircase method, we calculated the bias and
SD of the optimized parameters of the exponential model fit to the threshold estimates. For the RSS method, trial-by-trial data were fit with an exponential function with a maximum likelihood method to obtain the estimated parameters. The biases of the estimated parameters from the qCD method were much smaller than those from the staircase and RSS methods, especially for the simulated Observer 1 with a faster learning parameter. For example, when the time constant was 80 trials (Observer 2), the biases of the estimated
λ from the qCD, SC80, SC160, and RSS methods were −0.016, 0.210, 0.490, and −0.096 log
10 units, respectively. Similarly, the
SDs of the parameter estimates from the post hoc segment-by-segment qCD method were much lower than those derived from fitting the exponential to the staircase method thresholds and RSS method. For example, for Observer 2 the
SDs of the
λs estimated from the qCD, SC80, SC160, and RSS methods were 0.081, 0.648, 0.884, and 0.259 log
10 units, respectively. Note that 0.1, 0.5, and 1 log
10 units denote about 25%, 300%, and 1,000% (ratio) deviation from the truth, respectively. Based on the simulations, the qCD method yielded higher accuracy and precision for estimated parameters than the staircase and RSS methods. Furthermore, both the staircase and RSS methods were less effective in estimating the parameters when learning was rapid (Observer 1), while the accuracy and precision on estimated parameters from the qCD method yielded good estimates in all cases (see
Tables 5 and
6 for details). Furthermore, the different starting levels were more likely to affect the accuracy of the estimated parameters in the staircase method, while the biases of parameters estimated from the qCD method did not vary much with the starting level. For example, the biases of the estimated
λ from the qCD method with +25%, 0% and −25% starting levels were −0.057, −0.051, and −0.054 log
10 units, respectively, but were 0.221, 0.321, and 0.336 log
10 units with the SC80 method (see
Tables 5 and
6, and Supplementary Figures S5 and S6 of
Supplementary Appendix D for details).