We found that the model with both bias and swap parameters fit better than the models with bias only (an AIC change of 15.46, with a better fit for 23 of 28 participants) and swap only (an AIC change of 4.64, with a better fit for 27 of 28 participants) (this outcome is in contrast with
Experiment 1, which did not find evidence for a superiority for swap models). The estimate of the guess rate was 2.68%, SD was 14.26°, and swap rate was 22.42%. Importantly, the bias after accounting for guesses and swaps was 0.24° toward the distractors, which was not significant, 95% confidence interval −1.37 to 1.96,
t(27) = 0.36,
p = 0.719, Cohen's
d = 0.07. The memory error distribution and model fits are shown in
Figure 2b. These findings demonstrate that the bias away from the distractors observed in
Experiment 1 is no longer observed once search context expectations are removed. Indeed, a direct comparison of the attentional bias in
Experiment 1 and the bias in this experiment (using a nonparametric Mann-Whitney
U test because our data violated the assumptions of an independent sample
t test) found a significant difference,
Z = 4.42,
p < 0.001. Furthermore, the observed bias is less than 1°, and is therefore too small to explain the larger effect size difference between the two tasks. The Mann-Whitney
U test also found a significance difference between this bias in this experiment and the memory bias in
Experiment 1,
Z = 2.40,
p = 0.016, demonstrating that the orientation adjustment task is sensitive enough to detect the difference between a biased and nonbiased distribution. These findings reinforce the conclusion that the results of
Experiment 1 likely reflect (at least) a partially overlapping mechanism responsible for influencing search template and memory contents.