The analytic model (
Equation A16 in
Appendix) was fitted to the probability of correct responses in identifying both target interval and location using a least squares estimation procedure. In the model, probability correct is a function of observer parameters (
σm, the proportion constant of multiplicative internal noise;
σa, the standard deviation of additive internal noise;
βmax, the maximum gain of the template to the preferred stimulus;
βσ, the bandwidth of the template;
γ, transducer nonlinearity) and stimulus parameters (
σext, the standard deviation of external noise;
c, signal stimulus contrast;
θ, target-distractor orientation difference;
SS, set-size). In the model-fitting procedure, all observer parameters were the same for all stimulus conditions in the experiment and free to vary. The model was fitted to the aggregated data across observers as well as individual data separately. Model parameters were adjusted using a gradient descent method to minimize the error function, the sum of the squared differences between the predicted and observed probability correct. The best-fitting parameters are listed in
Table 1, and the corresponding PTM model predictions are plotted in
Figure 9 along with the data. Even without the operation of attention mechanism factors, psychophysical data were well accounted for by the model (
r2 = .9809), indicating the ability of a pure spatial uncertainty model in accounting for the bulk of the data.