We distinguished between alternating predictable and unpredictable trials. In alternating predictable trials, the preceding trial was unpredictable whereas the current trial was predictable (M = 0.198, SD = 0.17). In alternating unpredictable trials, the pattern was vice versa as the preceding trial was predictable (M = 0.14, SD = 0.17). Also, for both alternating conditions, the predictable probe condition (t(54) = 8.454, p < 0.001, d = 1.14) and the unpredictable probe condition (t(54) = 5.972, p < 0.001, d = 0.81), we were able to find serial dependencies.
Serial dependencies were significantly stronger when the current trial was predictable compared to unpredictable (
t(54) = 2.714,
p = 0.009,
d = 0.37, see
Figure 4B). This suggests that an unpredictable probe in the preceding trial leads to stronger serial dependencies in the current predictable trial, and vice versa.