Drawing on the framework of signal detection theory, predictions about response error can be investigated in more detail by analyzing the impact of task difficulty on performance in conjunction with the probe probability manipulation (see
Supplemental Materials for a similar analysis on reaction time). The 2AFC trials were grouped into nine discrimination bins based on the magnitude of the difference between the alternative choice color and the probed target color. Bin 1 included the most difficult close-color comparisons between 15° and 19°, and bin 9 included the easiest comparisons of far colors between 55° and 60°. The accuracy data were adjusted for guessing (
Hautus et al., 2022). Linear mixed-effects modeling analyzes the effects of the attention manipulation (probe probability) and decision difficulty (discrimination bin) on accuracy (adjusted proportion correct). The model was built in four steps beginning with the random-intercept-only model. By adding predictors in this way, the unique effect of each predictor could be demonstrated. The best-fitting model was one that included both bin and probe probability as fixed-effect predictors, but not their interaction (see
Table 2). In the best-fitting model, accuracy was predicted by fixed effects of probe probability, where Accuracy
adjusted proportion ≈ discriminability
bin + probe probability + (1|participantID) (β = 0.0046,
SE = 0.0002,
t = 26.83,
p < 0.0001), and the discrimination bin (β = 0.0467,
SE = 0.0022,
t = 21.05,
p < 0.001), such that the adjusted proportion correct increased by 0.37 from the close-color comparisons (bin 1) to the far-color comparisons (bin 9). The effect of discrimination bin on response accuracy was not congruent with any model of VWM resources that does not allow for variability in memory quality (e.g., item-based discrete models), but was predicted by all continuous resource models. Furthermore, accuracy increased with greater probe probability, such that the 100% condition had an adjusted proportion correct 0.23 higher than in the 50% probe probability condition.
Figure 5 shows that each predictor affected accuracy without any evident interaction; accuracy increased as the task became easier between discrimination bins 1 and 9 in all probe probability conditions, and accuracy increased from the lowest probe probability (10%) up to the highest (100%) probe probability conditions.
One characteristic difference between continuous resource models and discrete resource models is whether there are true guess responses caused by not having the test item in memory or whether there can be very low-resolution memory representations that produce very low-precision responses. To assess whether performance in any condition reflected random guessing, the accuracy data were compared to chance performance. Because the accuracy data were adjusted for guessing, performance scores were compared to 0 instead of 50% (see
Figure 5). Accuracy in the lowest probe probability condition (10%) at the closest color discrimination bin (15°–19°) was not different from chance; however, performance was better than chance for the next discrimination bin (20°–24°) and every discrimination bin thereafter. For all other probe probability conditions at every level of discrimination, accuracy was above chance.