We measured the impact of serial dependence by evaluating the influence of the “inducer” on the perception of the subsequent reference stimulus, which was presented at the same spatial position. In particular, we examined how the perceived duration of the reference stimulus, given by the PSE, changed with the magnitude of the inducers.
Figure 2a shows a representative psychometric curve illustrating the effects of serial dependence on inducer duration. The PSE (corresponding to 50% “longer”) with the 481-ms inducer was 301.7 ± 13.9 ms, and that of the 199 ms inducer was 282.7 ± 13.24 ms, 19.1 ms longer. The results of all participants are shown in
Figure 2b, plotting PSEs for 481-ms inducers against those for 199-ms inducers. Points tend to gravitate above the equality line, indicating longer PSEs for the shorter inducers, consistent with serial dependence toward the inducer. Although at first glance the effect appears to be driven by a small subset of subjects (
Figure 2b), these individuals were not classified as outliers, as their just noticeable difference fell within 2.5
SD from the sample mean (see
Supplementary Material Figure S1). Paired-sample
t-test and Cohen's
d showed that the effect of the PSE was significant:
t(26) = −2.152,
p = 0.04,
d = 0.402, confidence interval (CI), 0.013–0.835.
The analyses conducted on the PSE with respect to the previous response (i.e., assessing whether the current PSE varied as a function of the previous response) yielded negative results. Specifically, the test did not provide sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis, revealing a non-significant difference between the two distributions: t(26) = 0.634, p = 0.532, 95% CI, –0.009 to 0.018.